Standard difficulty · 20 questions · 40 marks
Show your working for Sections B and C. Answers are on the last page — try every question first!
Probability · AW-11M-PB1-2026-V1 · For parents — fold back or tear off before handing the sheet to your child.
| Q | Answer | Working |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | (d) 16 | — |
| 2 | (a) 31/40 | P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B) |
| 3 | (d) 8/9 | 1 − P(A) |
| 4 | (d) neither mutually exclusive nor exhaustive | A = {1, 3, 5}, B = {5, 6} |
| 5 | (c) sample space | — |
| 6 | (b) 7/12 | 21 favourable outcomes out of 36 |
| 7 | (d) 7/13 | (4 + 26 − 2) ÷ 52 |
| 8 | (c) A is true, but R is false. | A is true: 3/10 + 1/2 − 1/5 = 3/5. R is false. |
| 9 | S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}; 1/2 | — |
| 10 | 11/30 | P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B) |
| 11 | A ∪ B = {1, 2, 3, 5, 6} (5/6); A ∩ B = {1, 3} (1/3); A′ = {2, 4, 6} (1/2) | A = {1, 3, 5}, B = {1, 2, 3, 6} |
| 12 | 5/52 | C(7, 3) ÷ C(14, 3) = 35 ÷ 364 |
| 13 | 1/5525 | C(4, 3) ÷ C(52, 3) = 4 ÷ 22,100 |
| 14 | 87%; 13%; 33/50 | P(M ∪ E) = P(M) + P(E) − P(M ∩ E) |
| 15 | 5/12 | 15 of the 36 outcomes |
| 16 | (a) 31/32; (b) 1/32 | P(no tail) = (1/2)5; at least one = 1 − that |
| 17 | (a) 28/65; (b) 8/65; (c) 57/65 | total C(15, 3) = 455 |
| 18 | P(A) = 5/36, P(B) = 1/3, P(A ∩ B) = 1/36, P(A ∪ B) = 4/9; not mutually exclusive | A ∩ B = {(5, 1)} |
| 19 | (a) 1/17; (b) 105/221; (c) 188/221 | total C(52, 2) = 1,326 |
| 20 | (a) 21/25; (b) 4/25; (c) 18/25; (d) 7/15 | n(H ∪ T) = 44 + 28 − 9 = 63 |